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Monday, February 04, 2008
The Really Desperate Arguments

Well, it looks like it's over folks, because now they're just flinging anything they can against the wall to see if it sticks.

The "It's Bob Dole all over again" argument. This one goes that the only reason we're nominating John McCain is because it's his turn, and we did that with Bob Dole and he lost, so we're doomed. This one has the added benefit of being completely unfair to everybody. No Republican had a chance against Bill Clinton in 1996. And you would have a hard time coming up with the last time the Republicans didn't nominate the guy who's turn it was. President Bush was generally accepted as the establishment candidate in 2000, his dad was the sitting VP in 1988. It was Ronald Reagan's turn in 1980, boy, that worked out terribly. Gerry Ford was the sitting President in 1976, Nixon in 1968 was certainly the establishment guy, as he was in 1960. Maybe Goldwater in 1964?

The "McCain's only winning because of a handful of Northern blue states he'll never win in the fall" argument. This one focuses solely on tomorrow, when McCain will win New Jersey, New York and Connecticut. But as I commented, this ignores the last few weeks when McCain won Florida (a big battleground state), South Carolina (safe red) and New Hampshire (a minor battleground state). Suppose you buy the Mitt surge for a second, and believe that a surprise win in California turns his campaign around. Is Mitt going to carry California in November? Is he going to take Massachusetts in the fall? Sure, if he wins Georgia tomorrow, that's a state that will stay red, as will Utah. But so would Arizona for McCain. And if McCain take Missouri, it's another big prize in a battleground.

Asshat Jack Wheeler claims to have a big scoop. The kind of scoop that you used to take out of the litter box. I won't link to this piece of human garbage, but basically he claims that John McCain collaborated with the North Vietnamese, in return for which he was furnished with an apartment in Hanoi. Somehow the CIA got hold of the translations of his interrogation sessions, and Bill Clinton got hold of them too, because he was secretly working for the CIA back in the 1960s, and the Clintons will use it against him, but McCain may counter with Hillary's love affair with her personal assistant.

Oh, well, one more day of this slime.
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