Update: Jay Cost has a good article on whether Romney can win:
Why is it that most primary candidates refuse to run sustained, intense negative campaigns? The answer is that everybody is basically on the same side. An attacking candidate has to be careful about his opponent's core supporters. He runs the risk of alienating them - and they might ultimately refuse to support him after their guy drops out of the race. Romney might find himself in that situation. His attacks on McCain and Huckabee have been as sustained and intense as any this cycle. And there is evidence that this has damaged him with the Mac and Huck factions.
Exactly. Romney is like one of those Survivor contestants who manages to cheat, lie and backstab his way to the final, and then wonders why nobody votes for him.