Pollster: McCain Rising, Giuliani SinkingHere's a pretty interesting
analysis of recent polling.
But things have been changing recently. Giuliani appears to have benefited from a great many Republicans who simply did not know where he stood on these bedrock issues of conservative Republican principles. In the last two or three months that has begun to change as Giuliani has become the focus of news coverage that has emphasized his positions. Giuliani's recent clarification of his positions, and his performance in tonight's second Republican debate, is likely to further increase awareness among Republican voters.
While polling has found, somewhat surprisingly, that many Republicans say they are willing to overlook these issues I think there has been an inevitable drag on Giuliani, and that is now showing up in the Red estimator.
At the same time, McCain has tried to restart his campaign and it appears to have at least stopped his falling support and perhaps begun to produce some gains.
As always, I emphasize that polls don't mean much at this stage of the game. But I suspect as conservatives begin to look at their core issues, they'll find themselves more in tune with John McCain than with Rudy Giuliani.
Labels: John McCain, Rudy Giuliani