Wow, pretty bad prediction there; if you reverse the order I had them in you'd be a lot closer--Kerry, Edwards, Gephardt and Dean would have been close. Obviously the dynamic I described did not occur; probably because Kerry and Edwards' people were viable in more precincts than anticipated. In defense of myself, I note that both Hugh Hewitt and Michael Medved, who get paid to observe the political scene, both thought that Dean would finish first.
What does this mean for the future? My guess is it makes New Hampshire almost a must-win for Dean. Gephardt is fini, Kerry and Edwards get a breath of life. The interesting question is what does it do to Clark? His rationale was that he was the un-Dean, but the two candidates with great hair seem to have stolen his thunder.
