Poll Results Skewed
The media are reporting a "Big drop in support for war in Iraq, poll finds", based on a NY Times, CBS News
poll. However, Real Clear Politics has the scoop
THE NUMBERS YOU NEED TO KNOW: Even after oversampling Democrats (35%) and Independents (36%) and undersampling Republicans (29%), CBS/NYT got the following result: Bush up 2 points on Kerry (43-41) in the three-way race among registered voters. I'm pretty sure that's not what they expected.
Get it? The Times disproportionately polled those likely to be against the war, and then reports it as a change in public opinion.